Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,354$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(125 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(16.1\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $24$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(0.156 \times 10^{0.042t}\) (doubling rate \(7.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,826$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $9,394$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(744 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,133.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.5)}}\) (asimptote \(12,133.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $653$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(132 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{580.0}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 29.0)}}\) (asimptote \(580.0\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,993$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,070$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(53.7 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{29,963.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 111.2)}}\) (asimptote \(29,963.3\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $72$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(8.95 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{121.8}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 62.8)}}\) (asimptote \(121.8\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,550$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $32,683$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(449 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{465,888.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 121.9)}}\) (asimptote \(465,888.3\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $683$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(17.9 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $15,191$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $24,985$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(511 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{125,413.6}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 105.8)}}\) (asimptote \(125,413.6\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $959$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(83.2 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,173.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 53.2)}}\) (asimptote \(1,173.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $17,989$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,306$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(22.8 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,360.5}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 72.4)}}\) (asimptote \(2,360.5\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $12$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(1.42 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(11.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14.7}{1 + 10^{-0.058 (t - 25.7)}}\) (asimptote \(14.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,094$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $335$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(164 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(56.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{333.7}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(333.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(5.35 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(62.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.8}{1 + 10^{-0.081 (t - 11.8)}}\) (asimptote \(9.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,655$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(22.2 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,892.6}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 65.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,892.6\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $17$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(0.616 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18.7}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 55.7)}}\) (asimptote \(18.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,916$ on 2020-05-31